Moscow, Russian Federation
VAK Russia 5.2.1
VAK Russia 5.2.4
VAK Russia 5.2.5
VAK Russia 5.2.6
VAK Russia 5.2.7
UDC 338.012
UDC 338.27
CSCSTI 06.35
CSCSTI 06.39
CSCSTI 06.71
Russian Classification of Professions by Education 38.03.04
Russian Classification of Professions by Education 38.05.01
Russian Library and Bibliographic Classification 6523
Russian Trade and Bibliographic Classification 78
BISAC BUS039000 Economics / Macroeconomics
BISAC BUS027020 Finance / Financial Risk Management
BISAC BUS033070 Insurance / Risk Assessment & Management
BISAC BUS041000 Management
This article examines the concept and develops the architecture of a comprehensive system for assessing risks and forecasting modern threats to national security, focused on proactive management in the face of increasing complexity and interconnectedness of threats. Economic security threats are characterized by high dynamism, nonlinear development, the potential for cross-border spread, and the generation of cascading effects, which objectively requires a transition to comprehensive, system-oriented methods of analysis and forecasting.
national security, risk assessment, forecasting, systems approach, scenario modeling
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